FAQ

64.6% against the spread over a 289-pick backtest across NFL, NBA, MLB, and NCAA. Our live track record — 34 picks over one month — sits at 64.7%. We publish every pick, win or loss. No cherry-picking.

Three layers. Layer I runs 2,000+ Monte Carlo simulations per matchup using empirical game distributions. Layer II integrates expert consensus weighted by recent accuracy and sharp money signals. Layer III adds human factors — travel distance, rest days, altitude, referee tendencies, weather. The layers combine via Bayesian fusion.

We publish losses. We show our methodology. We track every pick publicly. Most tipsters delete bad weeks. We don't. Trust is earned by transparency, not by marketing.

NFL, NBA, MLB, NCAA Football, and NCAA Basketball. We go where the data supports edge. We don't cover sports where our models lack statistical validity.

Individual picks run $4.99 each. The Weekly Pass is $19.99 and covers all picks for the week. The Boosters Club is $59.99/month — best value. No hidden tiers, no upsells, no founding member games.

Three clicks. No retention department. No guilt emails. If we stop delivering value, you leave. That's the deal.

Public analysis on every pick — the teams, the matchup, the pick type, and our confidence rating. Premium analysis (the full three-layer breakdown, sharp money data, and tertiary factors) is behind the paywall.

Public tells you the pick and our confidence level. Premium tells you exactly why — the Monte Carlo distributions, the expert alignment data, the Layer III factors that shifted the line. It's the difference between knowing the answer and understanding the math.

No. Nobody can. The vig exists. Variance exists. We have a statistical edge, not a crystal ball. If someone guarantees profits, they're lying to you. We guarantee honest analysis built on real math.

We publish them. A 64.6% ATS rate means roughly 35 out of 100 picks lose. Cold streaks happen — that's variance. The edge is in the aggregate, not any individual pick. Bankroll management matters more than any single bet.

We sell sports analysis and data-driven picks. We do not operate a sportsbook. Whether sports betting is legal in your jurisdiction is your responsibility to determine. We encourage responsible gaming.

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